Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.960847 3.417474 3.922124 4.521417 5.214036 5.989795 6.925248
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.441675 3.061593 3.805691 4.765529 5.972484 7.442136 9.371232
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.012845 2.712508 3.614956 4.866316 6.560519 8.780475 11.920546
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.664275 2.391908 3.392755 4.873485 7.015825 10.014582 14.552361
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.348984 2.054370 3.082439 4.695096 7.172671 10.854443 16.778037
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.102185 1.769060 2.793434 4.488175 7.238289 11.554423 18.899446
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.967189 1.629828 2.698520 4.556275 7.728423 12.966862 22.361286
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.825287 1.454313 2.515262 4.445575 7.900143 13.879559 25.136110
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.768590 1.413087 2.547328 4.702406 8.735633 16.036609 30.433328
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.704455 1.347505 2.525051 4.855063 9.402360 17.987473 35.670711
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.630970 1.252500 2.433741 4.861697 9.790298 19.470382 40.244312
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.541957 1.113591 2.238307 4.633671 9.678253 19.959338 42.888296
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.506975 1.080460 2.250974 4.839546 10.508008 22.523476 50.440343
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.481767 1.063908 2.295314 5.120493 11.547523 25.704535 59.943208
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.445039 1.016727 2.268001 5.241458 12.257307 28.290989 68.590693
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.404600 0.954828 2.199090 5.257145 12.729675 30.421478 76.566033
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.355475 0.865053 2.053556 5.069324 12.687449 31.339827 81.733968
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.311052 0.779474 1.904727 4.848562 12.525370 31.936203 86.183159
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.289101 0.745921 1.876057 4.924107 13.129139 34.553467 96.487645
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.259387 0.688022 1.778400 4.805479 13.203595 35.812756 103.311501
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.251971 0.687373 1.826762 5.084249 14.403280 40.285022 120.134193
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.239707 0.671757 1.833501 5.250028 15.316810 44.125626 135.863921
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.221967 0.638231 1.786932 5.257533 15.776521 46.755575 148.444895